Too Highly Seeded

I believe the following teams will receive undeserving high seeds by the NCAA Selection Committee.  I would look for some of them to bow out in the first or second rounds.

Memphis - CUSA is weak; only quality win against Kentucky

Southern Illinois - high Pomeroy Adjusted Offense Efficiency; bad loss to Evansville

Butler - mediocre conference; two bad losses

Nevada - very weak strength-of-schedule; very high Adjusted Defense Efficiency

Air Force - weak strength-of-schedule; two bad losses