Monday, March 24, 2008

Sweet 16

Here is this year's Sweet 16 ( along with the previous two years ) and how I ranked them.  Interestingly enough, each year's rankings are similar.

2008 Sweet 16

  • 8 of my top ten are in
  • 3 of the 11 - 20 teams are in
  • 2 of the 21 - 30 teams are in
  • 2 of the 31 - 40 teams are in
  • 1 ( #46 ) got in, but that is an anomoly



    2007 Sweet 16

  • 6 of my top ten are in
  • 4 of the 11 - 20 teams are in
  • 2 of the 21 - 30 teams are in
  • 4 of the 31 - 40 teams are in



    2006 Sweet 16

  • 6 of my top ten are in
  • 3 of the 11 - 20 teams are in
  • 3 of the 21 - 30 teams are in
  • 4 of the 31 - 40 teams are in



  • Saturday, March 22, 2008

    San Antonio Practice

    The Ags practiced in San Antonio today.  About 1000 fans showed up to get a glimpse of the boys.  Today is going to be quite a day.

    Monday, March 17, 2008

    My Bracket

    My Bracket as it stands right now.

    I'm considering Pittsburgh over Memphis though and I'm not convinced I should have Duke winning it all at this point.

    Dayna's cousin, Heather, is pulling hard for Drake this year.  If A&M is able to get past UCLA, we'll have chance to play them in the Sweet 16.  That would be cool.  Drake has a very good team this year.

    Saturday, March 15, 2008

    Karas Criterion

    Dayna always gets a kick out of me this time of year as I spend hours on perfecting "my formula" for picking the winner of the NCAA Basketball Championship.  One day, I tell her, it's all going to pay off!!!  Each year I learn something new from gathering all my statistics and punching my numbers into the spreadsheet.  I have several years worth of data now to peruse as I tweak the information and gently modify the formula each year.

    Based on years of advanced calculations now ( hehehe ), here is what I can share with you.

    Over the last three years, the Karas Criterion breakdown has consistently provided this information about the Sweet 16...

  • 6 of the Criterion top 10 have advanced to the Sweet 16
  • 3 of the 11 - 20 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16
  • 3 of the 21 - 20 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16
  • 4 of the 31 - 40 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16

    Never pick a team ranked below 40 to make it to the Sweet 16.

    So, here is where things stand with the Criterion just one day before Selection Sunday.
  • Wednesday, March 12, 2008

    Four days until Selection Sunday!!!

    Here's how the formula is shaping up so far...

    Karas Criterion