Dayna always gets a kick out of me this time of year as I spend hours on perfecting "my formula" for picking the winner of the NCAA Basketball Championship. One day, I tell her, it's all going to pay off!!! Each year I learn something new from gathering all my statistics and punching my numbers into the spreadsheet. I have several years worth of data now to peruse as I tweak the information and gently modify the formula each year.
Based on years of advanced calculations now ( hehehe ), here is what I can share with you.
Over the last three years, the Karas Criterion breakdown has consistently provided this information about the Sweet 16...
6 of the Criterion top 10 have advanced to the Sweet 16
3 of the 11 - 20 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16
3 of the 21 - 20 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16
4 of the 31 - 40 teams have advanced to the Sweet 16
Never pick a team ranked below 40 to make it to the Sweet 16.
So, here is where things stand with the Criterion just one day before Selection Sunday.
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