I plagerized this, but I thought it contained a few good ideas...
1st Round:
#16 seeds are 0 for 88. #15 seeds are 4 for 88. #13 and #14 seeds are less than 19% combined. Upsets are frequent when dealing with #12 through #9 seeds. #12 seeds have won 11 of 24 matchups vs. #5 seeds the last six years. #9 seeds have a winning record vs. #8 seeds.
2nd Round:
#1 seeds win their first two games 86% of the time. Consider keeping the #12 and #10 seeds dancing through round 2. They win almost half the time in Round Two (14 of 29 for #12 seeds; 17 of 35 for #10 seeds).
Rarely pick a #13 seed or lower to win in Round Two. Only 9% of teams advancing past Round Two are seeded that low.
Sweet 16:
Advance three #1 seeds into the Elite 8. 70% of #1 seeds advance into the 4th round (that's a higher percentage than #5 seeds who win a single game).
Advance no team lower than a #12 seed into the Elite 8. NOT ONE has ever advanced.
Elite Eight:
Advance ONE or TWO #1 seeds to the Final Four. Exactly one or two #1 seeds have made the Final Four 18 of the last 22 years.
Advance no team lower than a #8 seed to the Final Four. Only 2 of 88 Final Four teams have been seeded lower than #8.
Final Four:
Advance NO team below a 6th seed to the Championship game. Not a single one has made it in the last 21 years.
Championship Game:
Pick a #4 seed or higher to win it all. For 18 straight years the champion has been a 4 seed or higher.
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